The Impact of Global Trade Agreements on Commodity Prices

Editor: Maharshi Soni on Dec 10,2024

A global trade agreement is a treaty among nations which engages in either promoting bilateral trade across borders or eliminating the high tariff barriers among countries and to encourage the use of most-favoured nation treatment as well as national treatment principles. Thus, these agreements serve to further develop a generally predictable and fair trading environment under circumstances that would, in themselves, stimulate and generate economic growth and cooperation. By placing under various arrangements- bilateral, multilateral, or regional-such agreements, each arrangement has its own purpose and financing considerations.
 

Overview of Global Trade Agreements

Bilateral trade agreements are agreements between two countries to reduce trade control and promote economic development for both countries. For example, the US-South Korea free trade agreement (KORUS) Eliminates tariffs on a number of goods and products, thus benefiting both economies.

Multilateral agreements, on the other hand, are agreements in which more than two countries participate. These kinds of agreements cover wider issues, such as intellectual property rights, labor standards, and environmental protection. An instance like this is agreements under the World Trade Organization (WTO), which set globally allowable parameters to trade and ensures that all members maintain such agreed trade parameters.

Regional agreements are those that promote economic integration in the defined geographic area. The European Union (EU) is an example of such an agreement. Changes in commodity prices have been marked both within the region and outside. This basic integrated aspect of the EU has seen its member states operate on the basis of a single market and customs union.

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Renowned Case Studies of Global Trade Agreements

North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

NAFTA, implemented in 1994, was a landmark agreement between the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It eliminated tariffs on most goods traded among the three countries, creating one of the world’s largest free-trade zones.

NAFTA significantly boosted trade volumes for agricultural commodities like corn and dairy. For instance, Mexico became a major importer of US corn, benefiting American farmers while providing affordable food for Mexican consumers. However, critics argue that it also increased competition for Mexican farmers, affecting local agriculture. NAFTA’s successor, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), continues to influence commodity prices by refining these trade dynamics.

 

Trade Agreements on Commodity Prices

The Common Agricultural Policy of the European Union (CAP)

The CAP is a major plank in the EU's trade policy and is intended to stabilize markets, assure food security and support farmers. The CAP affects some major agricultural commodities such as wheat, sugar, and milk through subsidy and price support mechanisms.

Subsidizing production will keep the European farmers competitive on the world market but also tends to distort market prices and make EU commodities even cheaper than those from elsewhere. This has provoked some trade tensions with developing countries, which find it hard to compete with such subsidized EU products.

World Trade Organisation or WTO Agreements

Founded in 1995, the WTO manages the rules of trade between nations and includes agreements relating to tariffs, subsidies, and dispute settlement. The WTO's General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) has been quite effective for lowering tariffs globally and fostering a more competitive trading environment for commodities like textiles, oil, and agricultural products.

An illustration includes the agreements made by WTO Round negotiations under the Doha Round to conquer agricultural subsidy distortions in trade. Progress is slow but noteworthy as the continuous discussions tend to put much emphasis on fair competition in commodity markets.

Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)

The original 12 were to bring together countries of the Pacific Rim in reducing barriers to trade and ensuring high standards for labor, environmental protection, and intellectual property. The US dropped out of this agreement in 2017, and the remaining members have now formed the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP).

Agricultural commodities such as beef, soybeans, and dairy have seen the greatest benefits from the Pact because member countries can now access new markets with lower barriers. For example, Australian beef exports to Japan have surged under the CPTPP due to lower tariffs, benefiting producers and consumers.

China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA)

ChAFTA, signed in 2015, reduced tariffs on Australian exports to China, including beef, wine, and dairy products. This has significantly boosted trade volumes, with China becoming one of Australia’s largest export markets for these commodities.

However, the agreement also underscores the complexities of trade relations, as geopolitical tensions between the two countries have occasionally disrupted trade flows, illustrating the delicate balance between economic and political considerations in global trade agreements.

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How Trade Agreements Influence Commodity Prices

Tariff Reduction

The elimination or reduction of tariffs under trade treaties helps to reduce the cost of importing and exporting commodities. For example, the removal of tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber under NAFTA has significantly reduced prices for home builders in the US. Lower tariffs usually result in a trade volume increase, making commodities cheap for the consumer, but they may also place domestic producers under competitive pressure, since they cannot compete with cheaper products from other countries.

Market Access

Capitalized as trade agreements often are to increase new demand through improving trade access to formerly undertrade markets, often results from their dimension through obliterating trade barriers. Through this trade agreement, for example, the South Korean consumer has doubled imports of US beef because of lower tariffs resulting from the US-Korea Free Trade Agreement. Increased consumer demand may act as a support mechanism for prices for some commodities, sustaining or raising them for producers. Market access, however, could also be the cause of overproduction, leading to price drops.

Supply Chain Efficiency

Trade agreements have been successful in harmonizing trade rules and streamlining customs procedures in the trade supply chains. Such arrangements reduce delays and paperwork, compliance costs, and other costs associated with regulation for commodities like oil, metals, and agricultural products, that usually suffer from such barriers. For example, the EU's single market exposes trade policies within the participating countries, backing it up with efficient movement of grains and dairy products across trade borders.

Currency Stabilization

It is possible to attach some trade agreements to related arrangements aimed at stabilizing currency exchange rates. This reduces the volatility of commodity prices as a function of their economic rates. For example, it minimized fluctuations of currencies, hence increasing predictability in commodity trading within the Eurozone by coming up with Euro-adopting members of the European Monetary Union.

Subsidy Adjustments

Trade agreements often address agricultural and industrial subsidies, which can distort market prices. The WTO’s efforts to reduce subsidies have aimed to level the playing field for commodities like sugar, cotton, and rice. While reducing subsidies can make commodity prices more reflective of market dynamics, it can also create challenges for producers who rely on government support.

Trade Policies and Market Analysis

Tariffs and Quotas

Trade agreements usually remove or reduce barriers such tariffs and quotas; this will promote free trade. Zero tariff trade of the EU with its member states, for example, guarantees a constant supply of commodities, including wheat and oil, thereby stabilizing their prices. Protectionist measures, such as the US-China trade war, tend to cause price fluctuations by disrupting trade flow.

Sanitary and Phytosanitary Standards (SPS)

These standards ensure food safety and agricultural products, but they can also serve as non-tariff barriers. For instance, stringent EU SPS conditions have adversely impacts agricultural commodity exports from developing countries and affect the global prices.

Market Volatility

Trade agreements reduce market uncertainty, encouraging investment in commodity trading. Policies favorable to a party create a predictable trading environment which is beneficial across the supply chain.

Economic Impact on Supply Chains

Cost Savings

Cost-efficiency can be achieved by lowering tariffs and streamlining customs. Reduced costs lead to the selling of commodities in a manner that is cheaper. For instance, the trade cost reduction across Africa under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) will have a strong impact on commodities such as coffee and cocoa.

Increased Resilience

Trade agreements strengthen supply chain resilience through access to many markets. They ensure trade flows during any disruption such as the one caused by a pandemic. The most recent of these agreements, the USMCA, stabilizes commodity prices.

Global Integration

Trade agreements localize suppliers within a new paradigm defined by bigger global supply chains. Thus, the participation of Vietnam in the CPTPP led to an increase in its rice and seafood exports-a deeper integration into the global economy.

Environmental Effects

Most current trade agreements have clauses about sustainable practices. For example, the new EU Green Deal aims to make agricultural techniques more "green," which agrees with commodity production and price considerations.

Technology upgrading

Entering new markets incentivizes producers to invest in better technology, realizing higher productivity and lower costs. The past has largely verified this for mining and energy, where global trading agreements facilitate the introduction of modern technology.

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Conclusion

Global trade agreements are more than just economic pacts; they are transformative forces that shape commodity prices, supply chains, and market dynamics. By reducing tariffs, enhancing market access, and fostering supply chain efficiencies, these agreements create opportunities for economic growth. However, they also introduce challenges, such as competition for domestic producers and the complexities of geopolitical tensions.


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